Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000088 0.000092 0.000097 0.000102 0.000108 0.000114
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000084 0.000091 0.000098 0.000107 0.000116 0.000127
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000080 0.000088 0.000097 0.000108 0.000121 0.000137
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000076 0.000085 0.000096 0.000109 0.000125 0.000145
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000074 0.000084 0.000096 0.000111 0.000130 0.000156
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000073 0.000084 0.000097 0.000115 0.000138 0.000170
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000070 0.000081 0.000096 0.000115 0.000140 0.000176
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000067 0.000078 0.000093 0.000113 0.000139 0.000179
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000065 0.000076 0.000091 0.000111 0.000139 0.000183
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000062 0.000073 0.000087 0.000108 0.000136 0.000181
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000061 0.000072 0.000088 0.000110 0.000141 0.000192
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000060 0.000072 0.000089 0.000112 0.000147 0.000205
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000059 0.000071 0.000088 0.000112 0.000149 0.000213
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000058 0.000071 0.000089 0.000116 0.000156 0.000231
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000057 0.000070 0.000088 0.000116 0.000159 0.000241
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000055 0.000068 0.000087 0.000115 0.000161 0.000249
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000055 0.000068 0.000087 0.000117 0.000167 0.000266
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000054 0.000068 0.000088 0.000120 0.000175 0.000289
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000053 0.000066 0.000087 0.000119 0.000175 0.000295
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000051 0.000064 0.000084 0.000117 0.000172 0.000295
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000050 0.000063 0.000083 0.000115 0.000171 0.000298
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000048 0.000060 0.000080 0.000111 0.000166 0.000291
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000038 0.000048 0.000060 0.000080 0.000113 0.000172 0.000309